Gusbourne PLC (LON:GUS) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last quarter. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 65% in that time.
Let’s take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they’ve been consistent with shareholders returns.
Because Gusbourne made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last 5 years Gusbourne saw its revenue grow at 28% per year. That’s well above most pre-profit companies. It’s good to see that the stock has 11%, but not entirely surprising given revenue shows strong growth. If the strong revenue growth continues, we’d expect the share price to follow, in time. Opportunity lies where the market hasn’t fully priced growth in the underlying business.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We’re pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Gusbourne will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We’ve already covered Gusbourne’s share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that Gusbourne’s TSR, at 70% is higher than its share price return of 65%. When you consider it hasn’t been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.
A Different Perspective
It’s nice to see that Gusbourne shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 59% over the last year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 11% per year), it would seem that the stock’s performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we’ve identified 6 warning signs for Gusbourne (1 is concerning) that you should be aware of.
We will like Gusbourne better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.